Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.347096 12.607386 13.964521 15.536984 17.311769 19.256256 21.552587
2025-08-24 9.305468 11.016561 12.995066 15.461899 18.469029 22.033106 26.602931
2025-08-31 7.899459 9.858511 12.262806 15.453434 19.610418 24.889176 32.173812
2025-09-07 7.020310 9.169373 11.946990 15.841161 21.225139 28.502553 39.248081
2025-09-14 6.171930 8.377821 11.357293 15.736784 22.113256 31.220460 45.507420
2025-09-21 5.434768 7.626242 10.701410 15.412639 22.593279 33.367098 51.222166
2025-09-28 4.893650 7.075138 10.243734 15.284904 23.298965 35.887063 57.854929
2025-10-05 4.612680 6.863936 10.245037 15.826552 25.075919 40.282638 68.238179
2025-10-12 4.355136 6.653983 10.214318 16.296239 26.773815 44.757561 79.502091
2025-10-19 4.052520 6.338334 9.976745 16.385795 27.821482 48.235958 89.525496
2025-10-26 3.742978 5.978793 9.626644 16.234047 28.408535 50.943490 98.508808
2025-11-02 3.457449 5.630746 9.258373 16.001516 28.804779 53.325701 107.224926
2025-11-09 3.187439 5.290962 8.882067 15.731223 29.131899 55.693343 116.533478
2025-11-16 2.960374 5.005769 8.574944 15.555703 29.623293 58.471972 127.332206
2025-11-23 2.773614 4.775120 8.343142 15.496084 30.337227 61.819991 140.142265
2025-11-30 2.662111 4.669692 8.329179 15.857914 31.967004 67.391437 159.521690
2025-12-07 2.499377 4.455528 8.090641 15.739516 32.552294 70.714964 173.964975
2025-12-14 2.326789 4.208542 7.766757 15.408291 32.622448 72.849680 185.737359
2025-12-21 2.193161 4.024962 7.549742 15.277001 33.123021 76.083050 201.258356
2025-12-28 2.142032 3.997235 7.639435 15.816399 35.255168 83.702331 231.271538
2026-01-04 2.086021 3.954892 7.694796 16.284713 37.282312 91.407779 263.601664
2026-01-11 1.997448 3.839722 7.588649 16.373659 38.383976 96.847347 290.252706
2026-01-18 1.893914 3.686069 7.388216 16.221763 38.853193 100.631526 312.471618